Hi, ESS members!
This is an announcement for coming ESS latter half ;practice on Nov. 2nd 2024
I found interesting topic for our discussion though shortly before US Presidential Election Day.
Since so many articles and news would prevail increasingly for the election, I decided to choose” Thucydides' Trap” as our hot agenda for discussion.
Make several groups as usual so that we will have 3-5 members for each group.
I would distribute papers to serve as informative material for discussion on Nov. 2nd.
Maybe you can find abundant sources on the topic if you go the Internet in your spare time.
Below is the definition from Wikipedia.
The term describes the theory that when a great power's position as hegemon is threatened by an emerging power, there is a significant likelihood of war between the two powers.[1][2] In Graham Allison's words:
Thucydides' Trap refers to the natural, inevitable discombobulation that occurs when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling power...[and] when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling power, the resulting structural stress makes a violent clash the rule, not the exception.[13]: xv–xvi
１） Confirm what the topic is.
２） Do you think any future war between US and China likely?
３） Do you believe economic interdependence can prevent war?
４） Do you believe either US or China will give up Taiwan?
５） What is Thucydides’ Other “Traps”?
６） What do you feel as reasonable policy response for this situation?
See you soon！
Yours
Osamu MINAMIHASHI